Enrollment projection software

In this sense, projections are strictly mathematical. Enrollment forecasts are similar to projections in that they rely on past and current patterns of change, but forecasts also incorporate predictions of how trends may change in the future.

It is common for practitioners to model a variety of assumptions, which capture a range of scenarios, such as decreasing enrollment due to declining fertility rates or rapid enrollment growth due to residential development and in-migration, so that they may evaluate a series of potential outcomes.

Forecasts represent the set of assumptions deemed most likely to materialize based on the analysis and decision-making of practitioners. In this sense, forecasts represent the art inherent in the science of demography. Learn more about student enrollment forecasting and their value over student enrollment projections in this blog post.

Learn More. Enrollment projections that take the geography or location of students into consideration provide a different and important perspective on future enrollment. Our bottom line: when it comes to projecting enrollment, the more data, the better. This is especially true if attendance area boundaries may change in the future. That provides the district with important information about the number of students expected at each school under current conditions, but not where those students are likely to reside, and therefore they will be less useful when attendance area boundaries change.

Relying on strictly attendance-based enrollment projections could result in:. However, when enrollment projections are paired with demographic trends e. Click here for the PDF to the remaining scenarios. Download the entire document as a PDF. Rogue Community College does not discriminate in any programs, activities, or employment practices on the basis of race, color, religion, ethnicity, use of native language, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, marital status, veteran status, disability, age, pregnancy, or any other status protected under applicable federal, state, or local laws.

For further policy information and for a full list of regulatory specific contact persons visit the following webpage: www. Skip to main content. Directory Site Map. Close Menu. Close Quick links. Rogue Community College. Enrollment Projections and Scenarios. Process The projections rely on current enrollment data at RCC compared to official population projections for Jackson and Josephine Counties.

Data The data used for the enrollment projections draw on two main sources. Table 3: Enrollment Shares for Rogue Community College, Fall For example, the enrollment share for age category 15 to 19 was calculated by dividing total enrollments in Fall 1, by the projected number of adults in the two counties for the same age group in 17, to produce a 0. Figure 1: Total Enrollments by Scenario for Rogue Community College, to The baseline scenario dark blue line is the most conservative of the five scenarios, in that we assumed RCC will hold constant market shares over the next 25 years.

Those figures are used by the district to determine where and when new schools will be needed. The contract would allow the district to upgrade its existing software program to include a special layer that would target projections at the middle school level. Milan R. Mueller , president of the Omega Group, addressed the boards concerns during a special meeting on Jan.